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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.11+8.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+3.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47-0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-0.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-2.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-3.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.54vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.01-5.54vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-2.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-4.29vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.53vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.25Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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16.18Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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12.4Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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14.4Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.7% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 56.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.