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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.12vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+4.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-2.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-0.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+0.76vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.94-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74+0.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.98-1.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.41vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.80-6.65vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.58vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University1.06-2.38vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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14.62Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.18Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 7.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 22.1% |
| Luke Healy | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.