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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.37vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+5.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+4.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.94+2.94vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+4.52vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98+2.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.69vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-5.82vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-5.84vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-9.89vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University1.06-2.29vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.71Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.17Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 26.8% | 22.8% |
| Luke Healy | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 17.3% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.