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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+6.48vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+8.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.94+2.86vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+3.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-0.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-3.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.72+1.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-4.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.08vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-3.35vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.45vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University1.06-2.22vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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4.64Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.78Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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15.22Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 30.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.