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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.32vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.73+3.60vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.81+0.56vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.29-1.25vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.30+1.03vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-0.52vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.14-0.12vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-4.77vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.6Villanova University0.730.0%1st Place
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3.56Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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2.75Washington College2.290.3%1st Place
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6.03Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
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5.48Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.88Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.23Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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8.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 19.6% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 17.2% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 26.2% | 25.5% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dave DeSimone | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 10.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 32.0% | 17.8% |
| Christian Geary | 20.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 17.1% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.