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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.90vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.59+1.73vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+1.01vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22-1.03vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9College of Charleston2.0746.9%1st Place
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3.73North Carolina State University0.5911.6%1st Place
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4.01The Citadel0.338.2%1st Place
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4.27Duke University0.067.2%1st Place
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3.97University of North Carolina0.229.8%1st Place
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3.12Clemson University0.7316.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 46.9% | 28.3% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| William Wheary | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.2% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 23.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 30.0% |
| Noah Jost | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 23.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.4% | 22.1% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.