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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.11+10.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+4.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+1.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+0.63vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.78vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.94-1.17vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-2.52vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98+0.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.44vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.27vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University1.06-0.34vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-3.30vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.57-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.33University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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14.66Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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15.45Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 27.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 42.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.