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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+8.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.11+9.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.12vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+7.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+2.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-2.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-0.83vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45+0.73vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-2.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-2.46vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-7.17vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.94-6.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.74vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-1.39vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.72-4.41vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.42Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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14.61Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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16.17Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
| Luke Healy | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.