← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.74+11.13vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.81+6.00vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.83+3.58vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.50+2.99vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.07+3.76vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.65+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.46+0.18vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.81vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.04-3.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.35+1.65vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.85vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.84-6.65vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy1.02-0.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.36-6.38vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.69-1.65vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.36-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.13Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.0Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.71Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.58Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.16Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.99Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.76Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.38Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.18Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.04Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
13.65University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.35Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
14.39Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.62University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
15.35Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.38Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 23.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 41.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.