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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+4.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+4.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+1.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-0.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-1.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-1.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74+1.15vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.58vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.35-1.63vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.46vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.62vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.15Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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15.38Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 26.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 40.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.