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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+7.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+3.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+4.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+0.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-1.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.75vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.63vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.07vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-3.99vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.50-5.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.35-3.52vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.53Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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15.17Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 26.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.