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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+6.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+4.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+3.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+1.80vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46+0.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-0.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-2.40vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-3.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-0.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.48vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.74-4.78vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.65Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.52Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.17Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 19.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary York | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 22.2% | 25.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.