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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+7.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+4.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+3.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+2.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.34vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-1.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.06vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74+1.16vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-5.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-0.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-5.44vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-0.71vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.36-7.22vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.02-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.16Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.88University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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15.29Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Jack Egan | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 39.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Zachary York | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.