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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+9.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.86vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+5.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+4.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.86vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.69+5.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.85vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11+0.98vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-6.51vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-6.61vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.04-8.99vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.02-2.46vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.74-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.07Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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15.39Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 39.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.