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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.85vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+1.96vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.34vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.59-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.22-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston2.0749.2%1st Place
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3.96The Citadel0.339.0%1st Place
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3.15Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
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4.34Duke University0.067.0%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University0.5911.3%1st Place
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4.08University of North Carolina0.227.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 49.2% | 28.1% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 20.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 33.4% |
| William Wheary | 11.3% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| Noah Jost | 7.0% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.