← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mildred Conroy 27.0% 23.0% 17.4% 16.6% 8.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Paul Stevens 15.1% 20.5% 18.5% 16.4% 13.9% 8.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Samantha Gebb 17.4% 17.2% 15.4% 16.6% 17.0% 11.2% 4.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Christian Geary 21.4% 19.9% 19.4% 17.1% 12.1% 5.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Dave DeSimone 3.4% 5.0% 7.0% 8.0% 11.4% 15.8% 19.8% 21.3% 8.3%
Jennifer Mislinski 6.0% 5.2% 8.8% 9.6% 14.4% 17.2% 21.8% 13.9% 3.1%
Christopher Cormier 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 3.3% 8.0% 15.3% 66.2%
Trevor VonKaenel 6.2% 5.4% 9.1% 8.7% 14.5% 20.0% 17.4% 13.7% 5.0%
Jacob Snyder 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 4.6% 6.1% 12.5% 18.5% 32.6% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.