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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+1.81vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+1.49vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.81+0.54vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.86vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.30+0.02vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.19vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.73-3.52vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.14-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Washington College2.290.3%1st Place
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3.49Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.54Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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3.14Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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6.02Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
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5.48Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.48Villanova University0.730.1%1st Place
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6.84Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 27.0% | 23.0% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 15.1% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 17.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Geary | 21.4% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dave DeSimone | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 8.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 13.9% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 66.2% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 5.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 32.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.