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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+7.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+5.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+3.81vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+1.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-1.24vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-0.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-3.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.66vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-6.90vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.02+0.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-2.71vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.76Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.17Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.13Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 22.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 22.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.