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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+6.70vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+4.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04+0.96vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+0.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.68vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-1.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11+0.98vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-2.23vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.02-0.54vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-7.50vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.83-9.06vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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15.16Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Walter Henry | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 21.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Zachary York | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 24.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.