← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.84+6.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.89vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.12+3.83vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.36+5.52vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+1.29vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.04+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.00+0.14vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.26vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.08vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.65-1.27vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.07-0.06vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.83-3.93vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University0.69+2.09vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.46-4.98vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.81-7.21vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.48vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.11-2.74vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.74-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.89Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.89University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.83Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.52Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.96Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.14Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.73Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
10.94Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
15.09Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.02Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
14.52Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.26University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.89Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 36.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 24.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 23.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.