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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+6.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+2.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36+2.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84-0.33vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-2.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-0.46vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+2.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.83-5.34vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-5.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-2.99vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.49vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.51Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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15.32Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 20.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 25.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 37.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.