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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+3.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+6.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.07vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.02+6.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+1.08vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-2.97vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11+0.97vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.63vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-6.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-6.28vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.04-9.96vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.3Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.08Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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15.14Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.