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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+3.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+2.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-0.15vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+1.04vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-3.10vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.02+2.63vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-1.12vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-4.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-1.78vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.68vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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14.63Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.32Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.57Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.7% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 37.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.