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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+6.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+5.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.19vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84-0.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83-1.35vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74+2.25vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.71vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-0.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-5.83vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.47vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-1.67vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.49-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.94Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.88University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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14.53Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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15.33Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 26.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 38.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.