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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+5.93vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+6.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.22vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+0.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.86vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.35+3.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.17vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+3.44vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-1.21vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-5.09vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.04-8.21vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.54vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-7.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.53University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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10.83Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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15.44Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 14.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 42.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 25.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.