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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+7.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+4.89vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+6.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04+0.84vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.17vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-1.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-1.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36-0.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-3.15vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-5.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.35+0.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.81vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-1.54vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-6.07vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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10.93Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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15.18Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 26.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.