← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.83+6.05vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.23+3.44vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.81+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.00+2.13vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.46+3.36vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.07+2.76vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.12-2.43vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.05vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.04-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.36-2.00vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.65-4.65vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.35-0.84vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.74-2.92vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.84-8.20vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy1.02-2.37vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University0.69-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.05Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.44Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.76Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.13Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.36Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
10.76Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.57Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.15Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.0Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
8.35Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
13.16University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.08Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.8Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
14.63Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
-
15.19Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 28.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.