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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+3.94vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.46+4.31vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97+0.80vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.44+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10+0.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.17-2.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.35vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.40+2.03vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-0.49vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.45-2.61vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-3.02vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-1.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Bowdoin College0.0513.8%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University0.467.6%1st Place
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3.8Boston University0.9720.0%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College0.448.9%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont0.8411.8%1st Place
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6.61University of New Hampshire0.106.5%1st Place
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4.15Dartmouth College1.1716.0%1st Place
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8.35University of New Hampshire-0.383.5%1st Place
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11.03Williams College-1.401.4%1st Place
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9.51Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.2%1st Place
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8.39Bentley University-0.452.8%1st Place
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8.98Bates College-0.582.5%1st Place
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11.74Middlebury College-1.760.7%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 20.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte West | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 22.9% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| John O'Connell | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 38.4% |
| cole capizzo | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.