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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.34vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+0.93vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.81+0.57vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.70+1.41vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.30+1.06vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.82vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.73-1.50vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.14-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.93Washington College2.290.2%1st Place
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3.57Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.41Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.06Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
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3.18Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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5.5Villanova University0.730.1%1st Place
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6.85Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 19.8% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 23.9% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 3.0% |
| Dave DeSimone | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| Christian Geary | 20.7% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 31.2% | 18.7% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 18.0% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.