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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.48vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+7.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+8.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+2.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-3.90vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74+0.39vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-5.37vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.02+0.20vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-5.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.35-2.48vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.65-8.36vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.69-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.2Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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15.22Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 24.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.