Race 1A

boston-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Moffitt 19.6% 19.6% 14.4% 16.0% 13.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Charles Bresnahan 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 6.7% 10.0% 13.6% 17.7% 22.5% 17.7%
Matthew Elliott 16.8% 16.5% 17.6% 13.9% 13.8% 12.0% 6.1% 3.0% 0.3%
George Higham 17.7% 15.9% 17.5% 16.3% 11.8% 10.8% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Chase Reynolds 13.6% 15.2% 14.0% 12.5% 14.4% 10.4% 11.3% 6.6% 2.0%
Fritz Baldauf 5.2% 5.7% 8.4% 8.4% 10.9% 14.6% 19.4% 17.9% 9.5%
Miles Williams 16.3% 17.2% 15.9% 15.8% 13.3% 11.1% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9%
William Wiegand 5.2% 4.8% 5.2% 7.0% 8.3% 13.8% 17.1% 20.9% 17.7%
Cameron Frary 2.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 9.8% 21.2% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.