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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.75+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+1.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+0.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.35vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+0.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73-0.68vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-0.28vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.96-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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3.75Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.24Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.72Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.82Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 15.0% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| George Higham | 18.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 19.1% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 18.1% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| William Wiegand | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 14.7% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 16.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 18.9% | 53.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.