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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
George Higham 16.4% 16.4% 15.5% 16.8% 12.5% 11.5% 7.0% 3.4% 0.5%
Chase Reynolds 8.9% 13.0% 14.6% 13.5% 15.5% 14.8% 10.7% 6.5% 2.5%
Matthew Elliott 17.6% 16.9% 15.9% 14.8% 13.6% 9.9% 7.6% 2.8% 0.9%
Charles Bresnahan 4.9% 4.1% 6.7% 9.0% 8.4% 12.9% 17.9% 21.7% 14.4%
Miles Williams 18.7% 19.6% 14.5% 12.8% 13.7% 9.4% 6.2% 4.5% 0.6%
Christian Moffitt 20.0% 18.3% 18.1% 14.8% 12.0% 9.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Fritz Baldauf 5.8% 4.9% 7.4% 8.8% 10.3% 15.2% 19.1% 19.0% 9.5%
William Wiegand 5.5% 4.9% 4.2% 7.1% 10.7% 11.4% 17.2% 21.1% 17.9%
Cameron Frary 2.2% 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 3.3% 5.6% 9.1% 19.1% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.