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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.75+3.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+1.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20-0.64vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.73+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.37vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72-0.64vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.96-2.14vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.19-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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3.76Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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6.13Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.36Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.86Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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7.7Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 13.3% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| George Higham | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 21.0% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| Miles Williams | 18.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Wiegand | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 15.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 11.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.