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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Chase Reynolds 13.4% 12.0% 12.1% 15.1% 15.5% 12.4% 11.0% 7.3% 1.2%
Matthew Elliott 13.3% 18.1% 15.9% 14.7% 15.3% 10.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3%
George Higham 17.5% 15.8% 15.7% 14.3% 13.4% 12.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Christian Moffitt 21.0% 18.9% 17.7% 14.8% 11.1% 8.5% 5.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Charles Bresnahan 4.2% 5.7% 7.6% 8.4% 8.8% 12.7% 16.0% 20.6% 16.0%
Miles Williams 18.1% 16.6% 16.1% 15.2% 13.8% 11.4% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6%
William Wiegand 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 8.6% 11.2% 19.8% 23.7% 15.6%
Fritz Baldauf 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.5% 10.9% 15.4% 17.1% 18.5% 11.3%
Cameron Frary 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 6.1% 9.9% 18.6% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.