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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.77vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.41vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.96+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.36vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19+0.74vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.73-1.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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5.73Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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7.74Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College0.730.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 19.9% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 10.4% |
| Miles Williams | 17.0% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 54.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 15.9% |
| William Wiegand | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.