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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+2.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+2.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.96+2.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06-0.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+1.12vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.19+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.20-3.54vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.73-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.87Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.68Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.12Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.72Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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6.26Connecticut College0.730.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 17.9% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Chase Reynolds | 10.1% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| George Higham | 17.7% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| William Wiegand | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 16.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 52.6% |
| Christian Moffitt | 18.9% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| Miles Williams | 18.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.