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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.75+3.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+0.51vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.38vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.96-1.12vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-0.32vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.9Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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6.21Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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5.88Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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7.68Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.25Connecticut College0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| George Higham | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 19.6% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 16.4% |
| Miles Williams | 18.2% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 18.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 9.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 53.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.