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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.77vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+2.54vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.96+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20-0.63vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.19+2.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-3.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-1.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.54Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.9Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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7.59Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.28Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.29Connecticut College0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 10.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 20.8% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 51.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 18.4% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Miles Williams | 17.4% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| William Wiegand | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 16.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.