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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
George Higham 16.4% 17.0% 14.6% 15.6% 14.5% 10.3% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7%
Chase Reynolds 10.1% 11.4% 14.2% 15.1% 13.5% 13.1% 11.9% 7.8% 2.9%
Fritz Baldauf 5.4% 6.8% 6.1% 9.3% 9.6% 14.0% 17.6% 20.9% 10.3%
Christian Moffitt 20.8% 19.7% 16.3% 15.4% 11.3% 9.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7%
Cameron Frary 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 5.5% 7.4% 10.9% 15.5% 51.0%
Matthew Elliott 18.4% 16.3% 17.4% 15.6% 12.5% 10.7% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7%
Miles Williams 17.4% 17.0% 16.9% 13.8% 14.4% 10.1% 6.2% 3.7% 0.5%
William Wiegand 4.8% 4.6% 7.3% 6.1% 7.5% 13.6% 17.1% 22.2% 16.8%
Charles Bresnahan 5.3% 4.8% 4.9% 5.5% 11.2% 11.2% 19.3% 21.4% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.