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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.72+5.30vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+0.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.37vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.96-0.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.75-2.67vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-0.28vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.89Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.81Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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4.33Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.72Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.25Connecticut College0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wiegand | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 15.1% |
| George Higham | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 19.5% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 18.8% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Miles Williams | 18.8% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 10.3% |
| Chase Reynolds | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 54.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.