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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+1.83vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.36vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95+0.33vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.81-0.55vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70+0.39vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.14+0.83vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.73-1.50vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.30-2.83vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Washington College2.290.3%1st Place
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3.36Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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3.33Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.39Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.83Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.5Villanova University0.730.1%1st Place
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6.17Ocean County College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 26.5% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 16.0% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 20.1% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gebb | 18.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 31.3% | 17.5% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 3.7% |
| Dave DeSimone | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 8.5% |
| Christopher Cormier | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 16.9% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.