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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+3.97vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.44+3.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+2.61vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.46+1.21vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+3.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84-2.05vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.17-3.90vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.58-0.23vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.40+0.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.46vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.45-3.55vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.38-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Bowdoin College0.0512.4%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College0.448.3%1st Place
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3.73Boston University0.9720.3%1st Place
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6.61University of New Hampshire0.106.5%1st Place
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6.21Northeastern University0.467.6%1st Place
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9.47Maine Maritime Academy-0.823.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont0.8411.9%1st Place
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4.1Dartmouth College1.1715.8%1st Place
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8.77Bates College-0.583.3%1st Place
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10.99Williams College-1.401.5%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.7%1st Place
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8.45Bentley University-0.453.0%1st Place
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11.75Middlebury College-1.761.1%1st Place
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8.47University of New Hampshire-0.383.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 21.9% |
| cole capizzo | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 18.7% |
| John O'Connell | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 38.1% |
| Sean Lund | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.