Race 10A

boston-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Moffitt 20.0% 18.0% 14.6% 17.8% 11.8% 7.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Chase Reynolds 8.7% 13.6% 14.6% 13.6% 15.2% 14.4% 11.3% 6.1% 2.5%
Miles Williams 17.7% 15.3% 17.0% 14.7% 13.1% 10.1% 8.0% 3.5% 0.6%
Fritz Baldauf 5.8% 4.9% 9.8% 8.6% 11.6% 15.5% 16.3% 17.4% 10.1%
Matthew Elliott 18.7% 19.6% 15.7% 12.3% 12.6% 9.8% 6.3% 4.1% 0.9%
George Higham 17.1% 16.7% 16.5% 16.9% 12.3% 9.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.9%
William Wiegand 5.0% 3.8% 4.5% 7.0% 9.9% 13.3% 17.4% 23.8% 15.3%
Cameron Frary 1.8% 2.9% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 6.3% 9.4% 16.3% 54.4%
Charles Bresnahan 5.2% 5.2% 5.2% 6.6% 9.2% 13.3% 16.8% 23.6% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.