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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.20+2.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+1.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+1.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06-0.67vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.73+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.71vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19-0.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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3.89Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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3.33Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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5.62Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.91Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 23.6% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Chase Reynolds | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| George Higham | 19.3% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 25.9% | 17.1% |
| Miles Williams | 20.0% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 58.1% |
| William Wiegand | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.