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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+1.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20-0.87vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.73+0.61vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06-2.69vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72-1.35vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.88Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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5.61Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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3.31Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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5.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.86Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 21.6% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Jemma Schroder | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Christian Moffitt | 21.6% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 25.9% | 16.7% |
| George Higham | 20.2% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| William Wiegand | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 20.8% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.