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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+2.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+1.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.75+1.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.45vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19+0.08vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.81Connecticut College1.950.2%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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7.08Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 19.1% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| William Bedford | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Chase Reynolds | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Jemma Schroder | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 6.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 18.5% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Miles Williams | 18.3% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 64.7% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 30.0% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.