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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.20+2.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+2.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+0.61vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-1.38vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19+0.07vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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4.18Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.61Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.81Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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7.07Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 21.1% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Chase Reynolds | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 3.3% |
| George Higham | 17.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| William Bedford | 14.9% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| Miles Williams | 16.3% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Jemma Schroder | 10.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 6.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 64.0% |
| William Wiegand | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 29.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.