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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.75+3.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+1.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20-1.64vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95-2.23vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.19+0.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.6Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island2.200.2%1st Place
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3.77Connecticut College1.950.2%1st Place
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7.09Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 13.7% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 2.4% |
| George Higham | 17.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Jemma Schroder | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 6.7% |
| Miles Williams | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 19.7% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| William Bedford | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 14.4% | 65.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 29.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.