Race 1A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Luke Koerschner 33.9% 25.1% 15.5% 11.6% 6.7% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Jennifer Falkner 10.4% 11.6% 12.5% 15.3% 12.1% 11.5% 10.1% 8.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Margaret Swasey 10.0% 7.7% 10.8% 11.9% 12.6% 15.0% 12.8% 9.0% 7.6% 2.6%
Martin Moore 8.3% 10.6% 13.4% 11.8% 15.6% 12.2% 11.3% 9.1% 5.1% 2.6%
Katie Barlow 5.2% 5.8% 7.5% 7.0% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 15.7% 14.5% 12.1%
Mitchell Irwin 18.6% 19.7% 16.9% 15.5% 11.7% 7.7% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Teague McGinn 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 10.8% 12.0% 14.6% 16.0% 20.8%
Joseph Mowrey 5.2% 7.0% 9.1% 10.2% 9.5% 11.0% 14.0% 13.2% 12.9% 7.9%
Carter Hrabrick 3.2% 5.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.9% 9.5% 9.7% 14.8% 18.5% 18.9%
Anastasia Sikkila 2.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.0% 5.9% 7.9% 9.7% 11.7% 17.6% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.