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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+1.50vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.87+2.61vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.39vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.97+0.52vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.27+1.94vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.07-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.48-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.93-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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4.61Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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3.39Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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4.52Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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6.94Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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4.79Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Michigan-1.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 33.0% | 26.8% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 19.8% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Martin Moore | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 36.6% |
| Margaret Swasey | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Katie Barlow | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 14.3% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.