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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.33+2.39vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.97+2.78vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.07+1.83vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.23-1.52vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.87-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.93+0.44vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.69-1.99vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.48-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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4.78Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.83Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.48Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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4.32Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.12Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Michigan-1.690.1%1st Place
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5.61Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Irwin | 19.8% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Martin Moore | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Margaret Swasey | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Luke Koerschner | 33.7% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 21.2% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 39.1% |
| Katie Barlow | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.