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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+1.51vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.97+2.78vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.93+2.41vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.87-0.68vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.07-1.21vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27+0.16vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.48-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.69-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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4.78Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.42Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.32Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.79Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
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7.16Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.62Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Michigan-1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 33.1% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Martin Moore | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 19.1% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 22.9% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Margaret Swasey | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 37.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Katie Barlow | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.