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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.46+1.60vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+1.50vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.74+0.69vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.84vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.73+0.32vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-0.53vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.14-1.11vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.26-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Washington College2.460.3%1st Place
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3.5Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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3.69Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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3.16Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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5.32Villanova University0.730.1%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.89Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.22Ocean County College0.260.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bedinger | 30.4% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 14.7% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Marzulli | 16.1% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Geary | 21.0% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.8% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 13.7% | 2.7% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 32.0% | 17.5% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 22.8% | 22.5% | 9.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 16.9% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.