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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+2.76vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+2.92vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.46+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84-0.07vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+3.66vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.17-2.93vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+2.39vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.44-3.14vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.40+0.96vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.45-3.56vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.58-4.10vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Boston University0.9721.2%1st Place
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4.92Bowdoin College0.0511.9%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University0.467.1%1st Place
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6.66University of New Hampshire0.105.9%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont0.8412.2%1st Place
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9.66Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.1%1st Place
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4.07Dartmouth College1.1717.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.0%1st Place
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5.86Bowdoin College0.447.5%1st Place
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10.96Williams College-1.401.4%1st Place
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8.42University of New Hampshire-0.384.2%1st Place
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8.44Bentley University-0.453.7%1st Place
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8.9Bates College-0.583.0%1st Place
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11.64Middlebury College-1.760.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 21.2% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sam Harris | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 8.5% |
| Charlotte West | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| Sophie Brett | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 23.9% |
| Sean Lund | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| John O'Connell | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.