Race 5A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Margaret Swasey 8.8% 11.0% 11.5% 12.4% 15.9% 14.4% 11.5% 10.0% 4.5%
Mitchell Irwin 14.4% 21.2% 19.6% 14.7% 12.7% 8.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9%
Martin Moore 9.5% 11.2% 12.5% 15.2% 13.8% 14.1% 13.0% 7.4% 3.3%
Jennifer Falkner 10.7% 13.5% 16.0% 15.3% 14.4% 11.3% 8.6% 7.4% 2.8%
Luke Koerschner 37.5% 23.9% 14.6% 10.9% 6.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Anastasia Sikkila 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 4.4% 6.2% 9.1% 12.6% 20.5% 36.2%
Carter Hrabrick 4.2% 3.9% 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 10.6% 15.2% 20.6% 24.9%
Katie Barlow 5.8% 5.0% 6.6% 10.1% 9.6% 14.2% 15.7% 16.7% 16.3%
Joseph Mowrey 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 10.1% 12.6% 13.6% 16.5% 14.1% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.