← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University-0.33+2.38vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.23+0.64vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.69+3.15vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-1.48+1.54vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.87-0.68vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-0.97-1.42vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-1.07-2.16vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-2.27-0.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-1.93-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38Grand Valley State University-0.330.2%1st Place
-
2.64Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
-
6.15University of Michigan-1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.54Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.32Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.58Ohio State University-0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.84Miami University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
7.09Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.47University of Notre Dame-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Irwin | 20.4% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Koerschner | 29.7% | 25.9% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katie Barlow | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 11.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Martin Moore | 11.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Margaret Swasey | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 37.3% |
| Carter Hrabrick | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.