Race 8A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mitchell Irwin 20.6% 18.6% 14.7% 15.0% 10.6% 9.9% 5.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8%
Luke Koerschner 33.3% 20.8% 19.5% 13.0% 7.2% 3.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Anastasia Sikkila 2.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.6% 7.3% 8.0% 12.0% 19.8% 33.2%
Carter Hrabrick 2.5% 4.5% 4.8% 7.3% 7.4% 9.8% 12.9% 13.6% 18.3% 18.9%
Katie Barlow 6.0% 5.8% 6.5% 8.4% 7.5% 10.6% 13.1% 16.3% 14.1% 11.7%
Margaret Swasey 9.6% 8.8% 11.6% 12.5% 13.1% 12.3% 12.6% 10.4% 6.0% 3.1%
Jennifer Falkner 9.1% 12.5% 13.0% 13.2% 16.7% 11.6% 10.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.9%
Martin Moore 8.1% 13.4% 12.2% 11.3% 14.5% 13.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.4%
Teague McGinn 3.8% 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 7.1% 9.6% 11.9% 13.7% 18.2% 20.1%
Joseph Mowrey 4.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 10.3% 12.1% 12.6% 14.4% 12.8% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.